2009 Parliamentary election results are unexpected beating all exit polls regarding fractured mandate. Most positive aspect of these results is that we will have a stable government at centre which will work for full five year with less pressure from its allies compare to last term. Congress has gained seats in J&K, Kerala, Rajasthan and Arunachal Pradesh (All four corners of countries). This year’s parliamentary and 3 assembly elections have turned down the anti-incumbency factor.
But I still feel that local issues have driven the results. In case of left ruled state, due to their internal fight, non-performance; they have lost the plot. In AP, YSR’s populist schemes have worked. At the same time in Bihar, People have given vote to JD(U) led front due to its development policies. Gujarat also has given verdict on state development issues. Delhi is again another strong example of development. In Karnataka, people have retained their faith in BJP; probably they will wait how this new government lead by Mr. Yedurappa performs. As they have seen the poor rule by JD(S). Chattisgarh also Mr Raman Singh performed based on expectation. There was little anti incumbency in Madhya Pradesh but Mr Shivraj Singh has not lost his ground. Punjab the Singh factor worked and also at certain extent state government has not worked well. Tamilnadu the populist measures by DMK (1 Rs Kg Rice, free power etc.) has tremendously helped them to retain their last time figures.
Only puzzle for me are Rajasthan, UP and Uttranchal. First let’s talk about Uttarakhand which is ruled by Mr Khanduri. Who was Road & transport minister in Vajpayee government. His records were impeccable. Despite his clean image, BJP lost all seats.
Rajasthan has always seen the anti government in centre compare to state government but this time both state and centre government will be ruled by same party. So hope to see some development in my state. But here development card didn’t work. Despite the hard work put by Vasundhara government they lost assembly polls some time back and now a shameful defeat in loksabha.
UP the largest state in terms of seats have voted against current mismanaged state government, but they have not given a clear cut verdict to a party.
Point I am trying to make is that there was no national issues in these elections. The verdict shows that who have won the election, has won based on local/state issues. And there the NDA missed the trick. I am not a political analyst but from my understanding I could figure out it.
Though this is one part of story there may be other reasons as well.
sahi likha gaurav bhai
ReplyDeleteper rajasthan mein BJP isliye haari ki yahaa. vasundra ko chod kar koi neta na prachar per nikla na koi tayari ki. vasundra ne bhi aadha time to apne bete ko jitane mein laga diya.
jaipur mein Ghanshyam Tiwari ko unki hekdi le bethi
hmm ...awesum blog sir...
ReplyDeletewaise sahi kha, election me sare local issue hote hn.. waise m aadvani ji ki us baat se sahmat hu jisme unhone america ki tarj per election, yaha bhi karane ka vichar kha tha... bcoz Loksabha k election me Voting local issue per ho rhi h.. jabki PM k liye voting koi nhi karta...
ReplyDeleteelections mean a lot to rural People and its only they who vote. Clearly foundout from te fact that Mumbai had less than 40% voting. so for those poor junta to concentrate on national issues is something to big to ask for...
ReplyDeletebut dear jo hua acha hua kam kam se kam govt 5 saal to pure karge jo k desh k leye acha hoga
ReplyDeleteये डेमोक्रेसी की जीत नहीं है ,डेमोक्रेसी उस दिन जीतेगी जिस दिन हिंदुस्तान का हर वोटर जाती ,धर्म से उपर निकल कर देश के लिये वोट देगा और हमारा वोटिंग प्रतिशत कम से कम 75%+ होगा
ReplyDeletenice blog...
ReplyDeletebut i dont think there was no national issue. depends on what you call a national issue. i mean if the situation is same across the country in all states, it is a national issue.this is a very rare election wherin people did not followed the anti incumbency factor. i am not so good at political analysis, but i fell that people have become wiser. this time they have shown that they are willing to give a chance to the government which is trying some real developement. it may sound cliche, but the national issue in this election was good governance. nobody spoke about it outrightly, but BJP could not call the government in efficient.
i fell that as far as policies are concerned, both BJP and conngress are having similar positions. so the issue remains of execution. congress made it because people felt it can execute better..
i am not so deep into politics to analyze the results statewise. so on that, I must say a this blog is very good analysis.
keep writing :)